A company\u2019s p\/e ratio can be a useful gauge of shifting market expectations of a company over time, although this may also indicate a bubble if investors\u2019 expectations outpace actual earnings.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
It is also a useful gauge of shifting market expectations of a company over time. If a company\u2019s p\/e ratio has moved higher, it tends to indicate that market expectations are rising. Taken to extremes, this may indicate a bubble if investors\u2019 expectations outpace actual earnings.<\/p>\n
However, as a guiding measure, the price to earnings ratio has some limitations. Normal or \u2018trailing\u2019 p\/e looks at a companies\u2019 earnings over the past 12 months, and therefore does not take account of changes in earnings trends. For example, a company may have a very high p\/e ratio because investors anticipate that its earnings will increase rapidly in future. This has been the case with many of the biggest US technology companies. Nvidia, for example, had a ratio of 47.7 times earnings as of December 10, 2025, but its earnings are currently growing at more than 60% a year. The company\u2019s p\/e ratio had previously been almost as high as 150x at the end of April 2023.<\/p>\n
The opposite is also true. Companies may have a low price to earnings ratio because investors are expecting its business to deteriorate. Superficially these companies may look cheap, but they may continue to become cheaper still. A good example is Russian oil companies in 2021. Shortly before Russia invaded Ukraine and became an international pariah, these companies were trading at apparently compelling p\/e ratios as low as 4x or 5x, but they were not the bargain they appeared.<\/p>\n
There is also the problem of cyclicality. Companies may have periods when they earn significant profit, and others when they struggle. For example, a consumer discretionary company such as a retailer may flourish in a buoyant economic climate and languish in a downturn. This can mean that the p\/e ratio is not a particularly helpful gauge of a company\u2019s value throughout the business cycle.<\/p>\n
It may not always accurately reflect a company\u2019s prospects, and may be based more on the emotional sentiment of market participants than cool assessment of its value and future returns.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
The final problem is that the p\/e ratio changes all the time. Earnings are reported only every quarter, but the share price is liable to change daily. This means it may not always accurately reflect a company\u2019s prospects, and may be based more on the emotional sentiment of market participants than cool assessment of its value and future returns.<\/p>\n
Adapting to address p\/e limitations<\/h2>\n
The price to earnings ratio has been adapted to deal with these issues. The \u2018forward p\/e\u2019 ratio assesses a company\u2019s projected earnings over the next 12 months against its current share price, which generally has the effect of reducing the p\/e ratio for fast-growing companies and raising it for those whose earnings are deteriorating. This measure has its own limitations \u2013 it is difficult for companies to project their future earnings in an uncertain economic environment, and external analysts may differ in their interpretation of companies\u2019 current data.<\/p>\n
The \u2018Shiller p\/e\u2019, devised by American economist Robert Shiller, is a tool to get round the cyclicality of a company\u2019s earnings. It measures the share price divided by the average of 10 years\u2019 earnings, adjusted for inflation in order to obtain a cyclically-adjusted ratio that offers a longer-term perspective on a company\u2019s earnings. It is designed to look through short-term business cycles to give a view on the sustainability of a business.<\/p>\n
The \u2018PEG\u2019 ratio (price to earnings\/growth) is another adaptation. The PEG ratio is calculated by dividing a company\u2019s trailing p\/e ratio by its earnings growth rate over a specific period. In the case of Nvidia, when the p\/e was 45x, the PEG ratio was lower at 0.92 because the company\u2019s business was growing so fast. This can help investors identify companies that look like a bargain because they have a low p\/e, but whose slow growth rate means they are better avoided. In general, a PEG ratio of less than one may indicate an undervalued stock, while a PEG ratio greater than one might suggest it is overvalued.<\/p>\n
Irrational valuations<\/h2>\n
The price to earnings ratio may not be predictive. Companies can remain highly valued for an extended period of time, even if this looks irrational. Apple, for example, has seen its p\/e ratio more than triple over the past decade. Apple is not a particularly high-growth company \u2013 its earnings per share have been largely static since 2022 – but investors justify its valuation on the basis that it could be a beneficiary of developments in artificial intelligence.<\/p>\n
Price to earnings ratio can be a useful guide, but investors need to take other factors into account.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n
Apple has benefited from significant inflows into the US market, often from passive index funds. However, had an investor sold out as the p\/e ratio reached 30x in 2020 on the grounds that it was expensive, they would have missed out on an increase in the share price from $90 to $270. Price to earnings ratio can be a useful guide, but investors need to take other factors into account.<\/p>\n
At a time when technological advances can result in disruptive companies growing very quickly, the p\/e ratio can also be problematic in attempting to evaluate earlier-stage companies. If a company has high revenue but is still operating at a loss (like Amazon up to 2003, a decade after its launch), it will not have a meaningful price to earnings ratio.<\/p>\n
The p\/e ratio is a useful starting point for assessing the value of a company, but it is incomplete. It can guide investors to companies that look undervalued, but it may not be meaningful without being put in context. It is worth knowing how it can be useful while also remaining aware of its limitations. Do not hesitate to seek the assistance of an expert if necessary.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"One of the most basic rules of investing is to try to buy at the lowest price and sell at the highest price. Of course, this sounds simple but is much less easy to do in practice. A good starting point is to try to work out whether an investment is cheap relative to its … <\/p>\n
Continue reading “Understanding the price to earnings ratio”<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":27434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","footnotes":"","beyondwords_generate_audio":"1","beyondwords_integration_method":"rest-api","beyondwords_project_id":"44704","beyondwords_content_id":"4842b0b9-39dc-4f31-a8f1-c3eeb52b47ef","beyondwords_preview_token":"34f00b0a-89cb-47ed-a895-460ceb19cdff","beyondwords_player_content":"","beyondwords_player_style":"standard","beyondwords_language_code":"en_GB","beyondwords_language_id":"","beyondwords_title_voice_id":"775","beyondwords_body_voice_id":"775","beyondwords_summary_voice_id":"775","beyondwords_error_message":"","beyondwords_disabled":"","beyondwords_delete_content":"","beyondwords_podcast_id":"","beyondwords_hash":"","publish_post_to_speechkit":"","speechkit_hash":"","speechkit_generate_audio":"","speechkit_project_id":"","speechkit_podcast_id":"","speechkit_error_message":"","speechkit_disabled":"","speechkit_access_key":"","speechkit_error":"","speechkit_info":"","speechkit_response":"","speechkit_retries":"","speechkit_status":"","speechkit_updated_at":"","_speechkit_link":"","_speechkit_text":""},"categories":[186,188,15],"tags":[413,586,400],"class_list":["post-27437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-savings-en-2","category-investment-en","category-myinvest-en","tag-savings","tag-profil-dinvestisseur-en","tag-investment","my_invest"],"yoast_head":"\nUnderstanding the price to earnings ratio - myLIFE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"What can the price to earnings ratio reveal about valuations - and what can\u2019t it show? 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